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Housing & Economy

powered by Industry Intelligence, Inc.

March 19, 2022

 Consumer Economics

Consumer Economics

Potential US existing-home sales in February fell 2.8% month-over-month to 6.17 million seasonally adjusted annualized rate, with market outperforming potential by 13.8%; house-buying power down 3.6%, driven by higher mortgage rates: First American
First American Financial Corp. (03/18)

Euro area annual inflation rate was 5.9% in February, up from 5.1% in January and 0.9% a year ago; highest contribution to the annual euro area inflation rate in February came from energy, up 3.12 percentage points: Eurostat
Eurostat (03/17)

Household Income/Expenditures

Zillow study finds home value appreciation in 2021 was higher than median incomes in 25 of 28 metro areas surveyed, up more than US$100,000 in 11 of them; costal markets in California, Hawaii saw home value growth outpace median incomes by largest amounts
Zillow Group Inc. (03/18)

Employee Compensation & Benefits

Canadian Pacific receives a formal notice of a strike beginning March 20 from union representing its employees over disagreements regarding wages, benefits and pensions; Retail Council of Canada, Canadian Chamber of Commerce have spoken out against strike
Baystreet US News Alerts (03/18)

US employer costs for employee compensation for civilian workers averaged US$40.35 per hour worked in December; wages and salaries cost employers US$27.83 while benefit costs were US$12.52: BLS
U.S. Dept. of Labor (DOL) (03/18)

Employee Well-Being/Satisfaction

Michelin suspends tire production at Davydovo, Russia, plant along with exports to the country, with company to support facility’s 750 employees; plant makes car tires, retreaded truck tires with annual capacity of 1.5 million-to-2 million tires
Interfax Russia & CIS Energy Newswire (03/18)

Kao advances its health management initiative and revises its Group Health Declaration, part of its ESG strategy, Kirei Lifestyle Plan; goals include improving products and healthcare solutions for consumers, supporting health of employees and communities
Kao Corp. (03/18)

Labor Scarcity/Skills Shortage

California faces wildfire season with fewer firefighters, risking repeat of 2021's big fires, when engines sat idle for want of staff; from 2019 to 2021, US Forest Service saw 20% decline in firefighter ranks in state, a loss of more than 1,000 employees
San Francisco Chronicle (03/18)

Ocado's 50/50 online grocery joint venture with Marks and Spencer sees 15% fall in basket sizes to US$163 despite active customer numbers up 31% to 835,000; JV says it will cut costs across business amid difficulties such as labor shortages, competition
Investing.com (03/17)

 Leading Indicators

Energy Indicators

US commercial crude oil inventories in week ended Mar. 11 increased by 4.3 million barrels from the previous week to 415.9 million barrels; inventories are about 12% below the five year average for this time of year: EIA
U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) (03/16)

Employment Statistics & Trends

US unemployment rates were lower in January than a year earlier in 388 of the 389 metro areas and higher in one area; nonfarm payroll employment increased over the year in 154 metro areas and was essentially unchanged in 235 areas: Dept. of Labor
U.S. Dept. of Labor (DOL) (03/18)

Euro area annual growth in labor costs at 1.9% in Q4, down from 2.3% in Q3; costs of wages and salaries per hour worked grew by 1.5%, while non-wage component rose by 3.4%: Eurostat
Eurostat (03/18)

Interest Rates

Russia maintains its key interest rate at 20% following an increase from 9.5% last month; central bank to start buying OFZ government bonds, warns of imminent rise in inflation, economic contraction
Reuters (03/18)

Bank of England raised key interest rate to 0.75% from 0.5%, the third increase since December; the UK is pushing ahead faster than other central banks in combating global inflation fueled by high energy prices
Associated Press (03/17)

Retail Metrics

Canada's retail sales up 3.2% to C$58.9B in January, led by higher sales at motor vehicle and parts dealers, up 2.9% in volume terms; retail e-commerce sales down 14.4% year-over-year to C$3.2B, accounting for 6.3% of total retail trade: Statistics Canada
Statistics Canada (03/18)

Advance estimates of US retail and food services sales for February were US$658.1B, up 0.3% from January and up 17.6% from February 2021; retail trade sales virtually flat from January but up 15.9% over last year: Dept. of Commerce
U.S. Dept. of Commerce (DOC) (03/16)

Inflation

Canadian food prices rise 7.4% year-over-year in February as annual inflation rate climbs to 5.7%, the highest level since 1991, Statistics Canada says
Fresh Plaza (03/18)

Federal Reserve raised interest rates by a quarter of a percentage point as concerns about high inflation, war grow; central bank projected the equivalent of quarter-percentage point rate hikes at each of the remaining six policy meetings in 2022
Reuters (03/16)

 Housing/Real Estate

Housing Starts

Privately‐owned US housing starts in February at seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,769,000, up 6.8% from revised January level, up 22.3% annually; building permits up 7.7% annually to 1,859,000, completions down 2.8% to 1,309,000: Dept. of Commerce
U.S. Dept. of Commerce (DOC) (03/17)

US single-family starts increased 5.7% to a 1.22 million seasonally adjusted annual rate in February, multifamily production increased 9.3% to a 554,000 pace; availability of materials, lumber, labor, lots remain key headwinds: NAHB
National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) (03/17)

Housing Affordability

US single-family rent prices in January up 12.6% year-over-year, up from 3.9% in January 2021 as shortage of available rental properties continues; cost of purchasing a home increased 19% annually, shutting out many buyer, forcing them to rent: CoreLogic
CoreLogic Inc. (03/16)

Home Ownership

Share of Hispanic American home shoppers looking to buy their first home reaches 58%, significantly higher than the 34% of the population at large; Latinos are predicted to account for 70% of new homeowners over the next 20 years: Realtor.com
Realtor.com (03/16)

Mortgages/Home Financing

US 30-year fixed-rate mortgage averaged 4.16% in week ended Mar. 17, up from 3.85% last week; 30-year FRM averaged 3.09% a year ago: Freddie Mac
Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. (Freddie Mac) (03/17)

Mortgage applications for new US home purchases in February decreased 1% month-over-month, down 3.9% year-over-year; average loan size increased to US$432,359 in February from US$426,954 in January: Mortgage Bankers Assn.
Mortgage Bankers Association (MBA) (03/17)

New Homes

New home prices in Canada grew 1.1% in February, with increases in 18 of 27 metro areas surveyed, unchanged in 9; new home prices were up 10.9% year-over-year in February, as increases in construction costs for material, labor continue: Statistics Canada
Statistics Canada (03/18)

PulteGroup's Del Webb breaks ground on its first community, Del Webb Southern Harmony, a 55+ luxury development in Murfreesboro, Tennessee; the active-adult community is scheduled to open in late 2023, and will contain 1,100 single-family homes
PulteGroup Inc. (03/17)

Residential Construction & Real Estate

Canada's real estate lessors and real estate property managers generated C$120.5B in operating revenue in 2020, up 1% from 2019; gain led by modest population increase, e-commerce demand for logistics centers in the industrial sector: Statistics Canada
Statistics Canada (03/18)

Share of Redfin home offers that faced bidding wars rose to 68.6% in February from January's revised 68%; homes listed in the range of US$1M to US$1.5M were likely to face the most competition, with a bidding-war rate of 76.6%
Redfin Corp. (03/18)

 Corporate Economics

Corporate Management

Rayonier Advanced Materials shareholder Chatham Asset Management writes to independent members of company's board over concerns management is not being proactive enough to address upcoming debt maturities; Chatham suggests note exchange, buyback
Business Wire (03/18)

America’s Car-Mart names Brian Stone executive VP of Procurement and Inventory, where he will oversee data analysis, reconditioning, inventory management, and leverage industry partnerships; Stone is a former vice president at CarMax
America's Car Mart (03/17)

Corporate Financing

Veritiv agrees to sell its Veritiv Canada business to Imperial Dade; company expects to use transaction's net proceeds to support its recently announced US$200M share repurchase program, future capital priorities and growth initiatives
PR Newswire (03/18)

Devonian announces shareholder approval of a new restricted share unit plan; aggregate number of subordinate voting shares issued shall not exceed 10% of the issued and outstanding shares, and plan remains subject to TSX Venture Exchange approval
Business Wire (03/18)

Small Businesses

Diamond Packaging named Best Performer The Americas in the EcoVadis Sustainability Leadership Awards 2022 dedicated to SMEs; EcoVadis rating methodology covers four themes--environment, labor and human rights, ethics, sustainable procurement
Diamond Packaging Holdings LLC (03/16)

 Country Economics

Trade Agreement/Deal

DHL signs agreement with free trade zone association Zofri to reduce Chilean air cargo transfer rates by 50%, which association says will likely help lower product prices; DHL has been operating in Chile as of September 2021 as part of its expansion plan
CE Noticias Financieras (03/18)

Trade Balance

Euro area international trade in goods declines to a deficit of €27.2B in January compared with a surplus of €10.7B in January 2021; exports of goods up 18.9% year-over-year to €199.5B, imports gain 44.3% to €226.7B: Eurostat
Eurostat (03/18)

 Macro Data
Latest Value Prev Value Year Ago Value
ADP Non-Farm Private Sector Employment

Thousands   |   Latest: Feb/22

128,548.39 128,073.83 121,678.17
Unemployment Claims 4-Wk. Avg.

Total, Seasonally Adjusted   |   Latest: 03/12/22

223,000 231,750 751,750
Unemployment Claims, U.S. (NSA)

Total, Not Seasonally Adjusted   |   Latest: 03/12/22

202,894 219,875 757,202
Unemployment Claims, U.S. (SA)

Total, Seasonally Adjusted   |   Latest: 03/12/22

214,000 229,000 765,000
Unemployment Rate, U.S.

%   |   Latest: Feb/22

3.80 4.00 6.20
Treasury Bills: 10-Year, U.S.

%   |   Latest: Feb/22

1.93 1.76 1.26
30-Year FRM

%   |   Latest: 03/17/22

4.16 3.85 3.09
CAD/USD - daily

Real/US$   |   Latest: 03/18/22

0.79 0.79 0.80
Consumer Confidence

Index 1985=100   |   Latest: Feb/22

110.50 111.10 90.40
Leading Indicators

Interactive Chart: Click on legend/key to see full view on your dashboard

Latest Energy Updates Latest Value Prev Value Year Ago Value YOY Chg
Crude Oil Spot Price: WTI, Daily

US$/Barrel  |   Latest: 03/18/22

105.10 105.63 60.15 74.73%
Diesel: Gulf Coast Ultra Low Sulfur 2

US$/Gallon  |   Latest: 03/18/22

3.48 3.48 1.82 91.31%
Electricity: Retail Price, Commercial

Cents/KWH  |   Latest: Dec/21

11.20 11.34 10.48 6.87%
Electricity: Retail Price, Industrial

Cents/KWH  |   Latest: Dec/21

7.16 7.46 6.40 11.87%
Natural Gas Spot Price: Henry Hub, Daily

US$/mmBTU  |   Latest: 03/18/22

4.91 4.87 2.49 97.15%
Latest Interest Rates Updates Latest Value Prev Value Year Ago Value YOY Chg
Prime Interest Rate, U.S.

%  |   Latest: Feb/22

3.25 3.25 3.25 0%
Treasury Bills: 10-Year, U.S.

%  |   Latest: Feb/22

1.93 1.76 1.26 53.17%
Interactive Bar Chart Image Housing Starts, U.S. Interactive Bar Chart Image Midwest Northeast South West

Interactive Chart: Click on legend/key to see full view on your dashboard

Interactive Line Chart Image Construction Spending: Nonresidential Construction Spending: Residential
Latest Employment Updates Latest Value Prev Value Year Ago Value YOY Chg
Consumer Confidence

Index 1985=100  |   Latest: Feb/22

110.50 111.10 90.40 22.23%
Nonfarm Payroll Monthly Change, U.S.

Thousands  |   Latest: Feb/22

678.00 481.00 na
Unemployment Claims, U.S. (SA)

Total, Seasonally Adjusted  |   Latest: 03/12/22

214,000 229,000 765,000 -72.03%
Latest Corporate Economics Updates Latest Value Prev Value Year Ago Value YOY Chg
Inventories: Total Business

millions US$  |   Latest: Jan/22

2,237,909 2,213,044 2,008,340 11.43%
Manuf: Avg Weekly Hrs, Non-Supervisors

Hours  |   Latest: Feb/22

41.50 41.20 41.50 0%
Manufacturers Orders: Durable

millions US$  |   Latest: Jan/22

277,572 273,281 243,160 14.15%
Manufacturers Orders: Nondurable

millions US$  |   Latest: Jan/22

266,652 263,379 236,000 12.99%
Interactive Line Chart Image Retail Sales: Bldg. & Garden Supplies, SA Retail Sales: Department Stores, SA Retail Sales: Drug Stores, SA Retail Sales: Grocery Stores, SA Retail Sales: Nonstore Retailers SA Retail Sales: WH Clubs & Superstores, SA

Interactive Chart: Click on legend/key to see full view on your dashboard

Sources: Industry Intelligence Inc.,Census Bureau

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